Abstract
The use of electronic health records has garnered interest as an approach for conducting innovative outcome research and producing real-world evidence at a reduced cost compared to traditional clinical trials. The study aimed to evaluate the utility of deidentified EHR data from a multicenter research network to identify characteristics associated with treatment escalation (TE) in newly diagnosed pediatric ulcerative colitis patients. EHR data (01/2010-12/2021) from 13 Midwest healthcare systems (Greater Plains Collaborative) were collected for pediatric ulcerative colitis patients. We identified standard treatments, excluded missing initial therapy data, and analyzed the TE and time-to-TE outcomes. The clinical and laboratory characteristics at baseline were extracted. Logistic and Cox models were used, and the missing risk factors were imputed. Machine-learning Bayesian additive regression trees were also utilized to create partial dependence plots for assessing the associations between risk factors and clinical outcomes. A total of 502 eligible pediatric patients (aged 4-17 years) who initiated standard treatment were identified. Among them, 205 out of 502 (41%) experienced TE, with a median (P25, P75) duration of 63 (9, 237) days after the initial treatment. Additionally, 20 out of 509 (4%) patients underwent colectomy (COL) with a median (P25, P75) duration of 80 (3, 205) days. Both multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards regression demonstrated moderate discriminative power in predicting TE and time-to-TE, respectively. Common positive predictors for both TE and time-to-TE included a high monocyte proportion and elevated platelet counts. Conversely, BMI z-score, albumin, hemoglobin levels, and lymphocyte proportion were negatively associated with both TE and time-to-TE. This study demonstrates that multicenter EHR data can be used to identify a trial-comparable study sample of potentially larger size and to identify clinically meaningful endpoints for conducting outcome analysis and generating real-world evidence.