Abstract
There are no studies discussing the significance of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), neutrophil-percentage-to-albumin ratio (NPAR), and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) in predicting poor prognosis in patients with metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD); this study aimed to investigate the relationship between these three inflammatory markers and all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in patients with MASLD. Survival data for 3970 participants were obtained from National Death Index (NDI) records associated with the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) dataset, the associations of NPAR, NLR, and SII with all-cause and CVD mortality were analyzed using multivariate COX regression modeling, restricted cubic spline (RCS) was used to explore nonlinear relationships and to determine the inflection point, regrouping was done according to the nonlinear inflection point, using multivariate COX regression modeling, subgroup analysis, and the Kaplan-Meier survival curves to evaluate differences in risk of death between the two groups. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was conducted to assess the predictive efficacy of NPAR, NLR, and SII on survival outcomes. Multivariate COX regression and RCS analyses revealed a positive linear correlation between NLR and all-cause and CVD mortality, whereas a nonlinear relationship was found between NPAR and SII and all-cause and CVD mortality. Further reclassified into two groups according to the inflection point, multivariate COX regression analyses showed a significant difference in the risk of death between the two NPAR groups (HR 1.37, 95% CI = (1.01, 1.86) for all-cause mortality and HR 2.03, 95% CI = (1.24, 3.32) for CVD mortality ) and no difference in the risk of death between the two SII groups (HR 1.11, 95% CI = (0.87, 1.42) for all-cause mortality and HR 1.35, 95% CI = (0.86, 2.12) for CVD mortality), and Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that both all-cause and CVD mortality rates were higher in patients with MASLD above the NPAR inflection point (log-rank P < 0.05). Subgroup analyses showed that the associations between high levels of NPAR and all-cause mortality were generally consistent across populations (P interaction > 0.05). Also, COPD subgroups had a significant effect on the correlation between high levels of NPAR and CVD mortality (P interaction < 0.05). Time-dependent ROC show the predictive value of NPAR, NLR, and SII for all-cause and CVD mortality in MASLD patients. The correlation between NPAR and mortality was nonlinear, and NLR was linearly and positively correlated with mortality, Measuring NPAR and NLR may be useful in assessing risk and predicting prognosis in populations of patients with MASLD.