Abstract
BACKGROUND: Reliability of echocardiographic calculations for stroke volume and mitral regurgitant fraction (RF(MR)) are affected by observer variability and lack of a gold standard. Variability is used to calculate critical change values (CCVs) that are thresholds representing real change in a measure not associated with observer variability. HYPOTHESIS: Observed intra- and interobserver accuracy and variability in healthy dogs help model CCV for RF(MR). ANIMALS: Reliability cohort of 34 healthy dogs; allometric scaling cohort of 99 dogs with heart disease and 25 healthy dogs. METHODS: Accuracy, variability, and CCV of 2 observers using geometric and flow-based echocardiography were prospectively compared against a standard of RF(MR) = 0% and extrapolated across a range of expected RF(MR) values in the reliability cohort partly derived from cardiac dimensions predicted by the allometric cohort. RESULTS: Accuracy of methods to determine RF(MR) in descending order was 4-chamber bullet (Bullet(4CH)), mitral inflow, cube formula, and Simpson's method of disks. Intraobserver variability was relatively high. The CCV for RF(MR) ranged from 28% to 88% and was inversely related to RF(MR) when extrapolated for use in affected dogs. For both observers, the Bullet(4CH) method had the lowest intraobserver CCV (Operator 1:28%, Operator 2:41%). Interobserver strength of agreement was low with intraclass correlation coefficients ranging from 0.210 to 0.413. CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL IMPORTANCE: Echocardiographic volumetric methods used to calculate stroke volume and RF(MR) have low accuracy and high variability in healthy dogs. Extrapolation of observed CCV to a range of expected RF(MR) suggests observers and methods are not interchangeable and variability might hinder routine clinical usage. Individual observers should be aware of their own variability and CCV.