Abstract
This study aimed to find significant factors associated with tuberculosis (TB) infection and disease development. The participants were from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) and National Death Index (NDI). The tuberculosis infection was defined as a positive QuantiFERON-TB Gold-In-Tube (QFT-GIT). The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) model was used to screen variables associated with QFT-GIT among 23 laboratory measures. Then the logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the independent factors, followed by a comprehensive nomogram model construction. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Decision Curve (DCA) analyses were used to assess the performance of comprehensive model on QFT-GIT result and death risk. Of 5256 individuals included, 521 individuals had positive QFT-GIT. LASSO analysis indicated that 11 variables were associated with QFT-GIT result, and logistic regression analyses further found sodium and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) were independent factors. After adjusting for potential confounders, the correlation of sodium and MLR with QFT-GIT result was still observed. The comprehensive model based on sodium, MLR, and important clinical characteristics can predict 0.8 probability of positive QFT-GIT and achieve more clinical net benefit. ROC analysis by training and validation sets showed the favorable prediction performance. Comprehensive model also presented favorable performance in evaluating the death risk of individuals with positive QFT-GIT. We also found MLR rather than sodium was independently related to the death risk. Both MLR itself and comprehensive model were all significantly related to the positive QFT-GIT and death risk, which might participate in the initiation and progression of tuberculosis infection.