An adaptive and interpretable case grouping framework for healthcare payment systems

适用于医疗保健支付系统的自适应且可解释的病例分组框架

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Abstract

PURPOSE: The diagnosis-intervention packet is an innovative medical insurance reimbursement system based on case-mix, developed in China to facilitate more precise medical service management. Despite the intended role of the auxiliary catalog in subdividing case groups, its formulation remains exploratory and lacks a systematic methodological foundation. METHODS: To bridge this gap, this study proposes a case grouping framework that synthesizes optimization modeling, intelligent algorithms, and structured representation techniques. Specifically, a mathematical optimization model is developed to minimize intragroup variation, and case severity is quantified using nonnegative LASSO regression and the natural breaks method. To improve the self-adaptive and interpretable capacity of the algorithm for solving the model, an adaptive learning differential evolution algorithm based on Q-learning and a hypercube learning strategy is designed, and the case grouping pathways are represented using tree structures. RESULTS: Empirical analysis demonstrates that the proposed framework effectively enhances intragroup homogeneity and intergroup heterogeneity of the case groups under established constraints, thereby providing a robust foundation for the development of the auxiliary catalog of diagnosis-intervention packet. Furthermore, its generalizability is validated by extending the framework to subdivide diagnosis-related groups. CONCLUSION: The proposed framework offers a theoretically sound and practically feasible method for case grouping in the medical insurance payment systems. Its flexibility and scalability support the development of more accurate and equitable reimbursement schemes.

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