Abstract
BACKGROUND: Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is a predominant contributor to cancer‑related mortality globally. Lung‑associated fibroblasts (LAFs) are intricately linked to tumorigenesis and the tumor microenvironment (TME), but their heterogeneity and prognostic relevance in LUAD remain incompletely understood. This study aimed to systematically characterize LAF subsets across the spectrum of pulmonary disease, identify LAF subpopulations associated with LUAD prognosis, and construct a robust LAF‑based prognostic signature. METHODS: We employed a multi-omics approach, leveraging bulk RNA data of 2719 patients from 19 LUAD cohorts, single-cell RNA (scRNA) sequencing data of 368,904 cells from 93 samples, and spatial transcriptomics data of 15,673 spots from 6 samples to characterize the landscape of LAFs across various stages of pulmonary disease. We employed multiple advanced machine learning algorithms to construct and validate a robust nuclear division LAFs (nLAFs) risk score (nLRS) prediction model. RESULTS: We observed a dynamic and gradual increase in the proportion of LAFs during the progression of LUAD. Throughout this process, we identified nine LAFs subtypes and found nLAFs are significantly associated with the prognosis of LUAD. Utilizing 100 machine learning algorithm combinations and integrating nLAFs marker genes, we developed a five gene based nLRS model, which demonstrated superior performance than other 49 published models in predicting clinical outcomes for LUAD. Additionally, we observed distinct biological functions and immune cell infiltration in the TME between high and low nLRS groups. Exploratory analysis of pan-cancer immunotherapy cohorts suggested that patients with high nLRS scores may exhibit resistance to immunotherapy in some cancer types, but prospective validation in LUAD-specific cohorts is required. Conversely, high nLRS patients displayed increased sensitivity to chemotherapeutic and targeted therapies in preclinical models. CONCLUSION: Our study introduces a candidate five-gene signature derived from nLAFs that may serve as a robust prognostic biomarker pending prospective validation, offering insights into personalized therapeutic strategies for LUAD patients.