Abstract
BACKGROUND: Low-carbohydrate diet (LCD) scores show inconsistent associations with diabetes across regions. As Japanese diets have shifted toward higher meat and lower fish intake in recent decades, the metabolic implications of higher LCD scores in contemporary Japanese populations may differ from earlier findings. We aimed to examine the association between LCD scores and glucose metabolism markers in adults in Hokkaido, Japan, in 2015. METHODS: We conducted a study involving 348 adults aged 35-79 years. Dietary intake was assessed using a validated food frequency questionnaire. Participants with diagnosed diabetes, those receiving diabetes treatment, and those with HbA1c ≥ 6.5% or fasting glucose ≥ 126 mg/dL were excluded. Three LCD scores (normal, animal, and vegetable) were calculated based on the percentage of energy derived from carbohydrate, protein, and fat. Multivariate linear regression was used to estimate the geometric means and 95% confidence intervals of glucose metabolism markers across the quartiles for each LCD score, and linear trends were assessed using the median value in each quartile. RESULTS: Higher normal LCD scores were associated with higher glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c); the geometric mean HbA1c values across quartiles were 5.35, 5.44, 5.40, and 5.52 (p-trend < 0.001). Similar positive trends were observed for the animal and vegetable LCD scores. CONCLUSIONS: Higher LCD scores are associated with higher HbA1c levels in Japanese adults. As cross-sectional data cannot establish temporality or causality, findings should be interpreted cautiously; however, LCD patterns may have different metabolic implications across dietary contexts, including modern Japanese diets with more meat. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13340-026-00896-4.