On a Model of Rumors Spreading Through Social Media

基于社交媒体谣言传播模式

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Abstract

Rumors have become a serious issue in today's modern era, particularly in view of increased activity in social and online platforms. False information can go viral almost instantaneously through social networks, which immediately affect society and people's minds. The form of rumor it develops within, whether fabricated intentionally or not, impacts public perspectives through manipulation of emotion and cognition. We propose and analyze a mathematical model describing how rumors can spread through an online social media (OSM) platform. Our model focuses on two coexisting rumors (two strains). The results provide some conditions under which rumors die out or become persistent, and they show the influence of delays, skepticism levels, and incidence rates on the dynamics of information spread. We combine analytical tools (Routh-Hurwitz tests and delay-induced stability switches) with MATLAB/Python simulations to validate the theoretical predictions.

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