Global stability for a cumulative release Ebola epidemic model from the corpses and infected individuals

基于尸体和感染者的累积释放埃博拉疫情模型的全球稳定性

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Abstract

In this paper, a SVEIRDP epidemic model is proposed to investigate the transmission dynamics of Ebola by cumulative release from the infected individuals and corpses in the form of infinite integrals. First, the positivity and ultimate boundedness of solutions are proved. Second, the basic reproduction number R0 is calculated. Furthermore, it is proven that if R0 < 1 , the model has the disease-free equilibrium and is globally asymptotically stable (GAS); If R0 > 1 , the unique endemic equilibrium is GAS. To clearly illustrate the theoretical results, real data are used to conduct numerical simulations. We discover that modeling the cumulative release of Ebola from the infected individuals and corpses using the infinite integral with an appropriate probability density function (PDF) provides a more realistic and accurate representation of the actual disease spread.

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