Abstract
Background/objective: Low back pain (LBP) is the leading cause of disability worldwide, resulting in enormous socio-economic and personal consequences. Sensory profiles during the acute back pain stage will predict central sensitization symptoms in the chronic pain stage, as central sensitization is the main mechanism behind nociplastic pain and pain chronicity. Therefore, our objective was to establish overall and sex-specific sensory profile cut-off points that distinguish symptoms of central sensitization at 12 weeks, using a retrospective prognostic cohort study design. Methods: Two hundred and seventeen patients with acute LBP (<6 weeks) were assessed using Receiver Operator Characteristic analyses. Measurements were taken at baseline using the Adolescent/Adult Sensory Profile and follow-up by the Central Sensitization Inventory at 12 weeks, based on the established Central Sensitization Inventory cut-off points for the overall population at ≥30 and ≥40, female patients at ≥33, and male patients at ≥25. Results: In female patients, a Sensory Sensitive cut-off point of ≥30.5 significantly distinguished central sensitization symptoms at 12 weeks, resulting in the following values: Area Under the Curve = 0.81 (95% CI = 0.73; 0.89), sensitivity = 0.89, specificity = 0.63, prevalence = 0.36, positive predictive value = 0.56, negative predictive value = 0.80, and Youden's index = 0.52. Conclusions: The Sensory Sensitive profile distinguishes female patients with acute LBP with and without central sensitization symptoms at 12 weeks. This cut-off point may be useful in identifying individual sensory preferences and addressing maladaptive behavioral responses to sensory stimulation in clinical practice to prevent chronicity.