Abstract
BACKGROUND: Retinal and choroidal vascular diseases including age-related macular degeneration (AMD), branch and central retinal vein occlusion (BRVO, CRVO), diabetic macular edema (DME), and choroidal neovascularization secondary to pathologic myopia (PM) are important causes of blindness. Their treatments by anti-VEGF agents imply heavy economic impact. METHODS: The Markov model was constructed based on best-corrected visual acuity, real-world injection frequencies and medical costs of 15,266 patients in Tianjin (2021–2024), utility values, and transition probabilities derived from clinical trials. Costs and outcomes were calculated separately under societal and medical insurance perspectives. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were computed, and sensitivity analyses (one-way, two-way and probabilistic) were conducted to assess result robustness. RESULTS: From both the societal and medical insurance perspectives, conbercept was more cost-effective than ranibizumab in BRVO, CRVO, DME, and PM with ICERs as -442,423.176, -2,429,628.701, -69,339.384, -410,661.276 as Chinese Yuan/quality-adjusted life year (RMB/QALY) under the societal perspective, and -370,506.503, -2,491,085.315, -66,253.162, -432,736.475 RMB/QALY under the medical insurance perspective in 2023, respectively. In contrast, ranibizumab consistently showed greater effectiveness for AMD, with conbercept’s ICER reaching 53,927.073 RMB/QALY in 2024 under the medical insurance perspective. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of these findings. CONCLUSION: Conbercept is a cost-effective alternative to ranibizumab in RVO, DME, and PM from societal and medical insurance perspectives. In AMD, ranibizumab remains more clinically effective option. These findings provide economic evidence to support value-based decision-making anti-VEGF therapy in China. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-026-26994-1.