Diminished biophysical cooling benefits of global forestation under rising atmospheric CO(2)

大气中二氧化碳浓度升高导致全球森林化生物物理降温效益减弱

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Abstract

Forestation is a proposed solution for mitigating global warming through carbon sequestration. However, its biophysical effects through surface energy modulation, particularly under rising CO(2) levels, is less understood. Here we investigate the biophysical effects of global potential forestation on near-surface air temperature (T(a)) under increasing CO(2) concentrations using a land-atmosphere coupled model with slab ocean module. Our findings reveal that, under current climate conditions, the biophysical effect of global full-potential forestation can reduce land surface T(a) by 0.062 °C globally. However, this cooling benefit diminishes as CO(2) rises. While elevated CO(2) slightly alters evaporative local cooling via stomatal closure and adjustments in forestation-driven rainfall regimes, the dominant reduction stems from non-local mechanisms. Background climate shifts reorganize forestation-induced horizontal temperature advection, weakening remote cooling in the Northern Hemisphere. These findings highlight the necessity of incorporating dynamic forest management strategies to optimize mitigation potential under a changing climate.

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