Abstract
To address the wear life prediction challenge of Guide Cones in passive compliant connectors under dynamic loads within specialized equipment, this study proposes a dynamic wear modeling and life assessment method based on the improved Archard model. Through integrated theoretical modeling, finite element simulation, and experimental validation, we establish a bidirectional coupling framework analyzing dynamic contact mechanics and wear evolution. By developing phased contact state identification criteria and geometric constraints, a transient load calculation model is established, revealing dynamic load characteristics with peak contact forces reaching 206.34 N. A dynamic contact stress integration algorithm is proposed by combining Archard's theory with ABAQUS finite element simulation and ALE adaptive meshing technology, enabling real-time iterative updates of wear morphology and contact stress. This approach constructs an exponential model correlating cumulative wear depth with docking cycles (R(2) = 0.997). Prototype experiments demonstrate a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 14.6% between simulated and measured wear depths, confirming model validity. With a critical wear threshold of 0.8 mm, the predicted service life reaches 45,270 cycles, meeting 50-year operational requirements (safety margin: 50.9%). This research provides theoretical frameworks and engineering guidelines for wear-resistant design, material selection, and life evaluation in high-reliability automatic docking systems.