ASSESSING THE PREDICTIVE VALUE OF THE C-REACTIVE PROTEIN AND NEUTROPHIL-TO-LYMPHOCYTE RATIO COMBINED SCORE FOR ORGAN FAILURE IN ACUTE PANCREATITIS

评估C反应蛋白和中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值联合评分对急性胰腺炎器官衰竭的预测价值

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common gastrointestinal disorder, with organ failure being the primary cause of mortality. This study evaluates the combined score of C-reactive protein level and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (C-NLR score), as a predictor of organ failure. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted on AP patients admitted to the Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid between March 2014 and January 2022. The C-NLR score was calculated from admission data: patients with both elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and C-reactive protein (CRP) were assigned a score of 2, those with one elevated marker received a score of 1, and a score of 0 was given to those with neither. RESULTS: A total of 778 patients were included: 611 with mild AP (MAP), 123 with moderately severe AP (MSAP), and 44 with severe AP (SAP). A C-NLR score of 2 was most frequently observed in patients with MSAP (56.1%) and SAP (56.85%), while a score of 1 was more common in patients with MAP (46.9%). Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that a C-NLR score of 2 significantly increased the likelihood of organ failure by threefold (OR 3.176; 95% CI 1.297-7.775). CONCLUSION: The C-NLR score could be a useful supplementary tool for predicting organ failure in AP, complementing traditional scoring systems.

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