One-Year Mortality After Percutaneous Endoscopic Gastrostomy: The Prognostic Role of Nutritional Biomarkers and Care Settings

经皮内镜胃造瘘术后一年死亡率:营养生物标志物和护理环境的预后作用

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Abstract

Background/Objectives: This study aimed to evaluate the clinical outcomes, complications, and one-year mortality of patients undergoing percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (PEG) in different care settings (hospital, nursing home, and home). Additionally, we investigated the comparative prognostic role of the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and the CRP-to-albumin ratio (CAR) in predicting mortality among these patients. Methods: A retrospective analysis of 236 adult patients who underwent PEG placement between January 2022 and December 2023 was performed. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were collected. The PNI was calculated according to the following formula: PNI = 10 × (albumin) + 0.005 × (lymphocyte count). The CAR was obtained by the ratio of the CRP level to the albumin level. Patients were categorized based on their post-PEG care settings. Results: Neurologic disorders were the most common indication for PEG (69.9%). The one-year mortality was 32.2%, with a median survival of 38 weeks (95% CI: 35-41). In the multivariable model, a lower PNI (HR = 0.93, 95% CI: 0.89-0.97, p < 0.001), as well as being followed in a hospital setting, emerged as independent predictors of mortality. Patients with timely PEG tube replacement showed a reduced mortality risk. The ROC analysis showed that the PNI had a higher AUROC (0.78 ± 0.04) compared to the CAR (0.69 ± 0.04), indicating superior prognostic accuracy for predicting one-year mortality. Conclusions: Care settings significantly influence survival outcomes, with better mortality rates observed in nursing homes and home environments. The PNI was superior to the CAR in predicting one-year mortality, emphasizing its clinical utility in risk stratification for PEG patients. Proactive tube management and individualized care strategies are critical for improving the prognosis in this population.

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