Study on the Predictive Value of Inflammatory Factors and Biomarkers in Synovial Fluid for Disease Progression in Knee Osteoarthritis Patients

滑液中炎症因子和生物标志物对膝骨关节炎患者疾病进展预测价值的研究

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Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To explore the expression levels of inflammatory factors (IL-1β, IL-6, TNF-α) and biomarkers (MMPs, COMP) in the synovial fluid of patients with knee osteoarthritis (KOA) at different Kellgren-Lawrence (K-L) grades and to analyze their predictive effect on disease progression. METHODS: This was a retrospective single-center study involving 154 KOA patients, divided into four K-L grades: grade 1 (37 cases), grade 2 (39 cases), grade 3 (42 cases), and grade 4 (36 cases). Inflammatory factors (IL-1β, IL-6, TNF-α) and biomarkers (MMPs, COMP) were measured in synovial fluid. Visual analog scale (VAS) and WOMAC scores were also assessed. One-way ANOVA and the Kruskal-Wallis test were used to compare differences between groups, while correlation and multiple regression analyses evaluated the impact of these indicators on disease progression. RESULTS: IL-6 levels significantly increased with higher K-L grade. COMP levels also varied significantly across grades. Correlation analysis revealed that IL-6 (r=0.7021, P<0.001) and COMP (r=0.8579, P<0.001) were strongly correlated with K-L grade. Multiple regression analysis identified IL-6 and COMP as independent predictors of disease progression. CONCLUSION: IL-6 and COMP in synovial fluid are significantly associated with KOA disease grading and progression. These biomarkers can aid in disease monitoring and early intervention, providing a basis for personalized treatment.

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