Abstract
Pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) are a complex group of lesions with a spectrum of malignancy. Accurate differentiation of PCN types is crucial for patient management, as misdiagnosis can result in unnecessary surgeries or treatment delays, affecting the quality of life. The significance of developing a non-invasive, accurate diagnostic model is underscored by the need to improve patient outcomes and reduce the impact of these conditions. We developed a machine learning model capable of accurately identifying different types of PCNs in a non-invasive manner, by using a dataset comprising 449 MRI and 568 CT scans from adult patients, spanning from 2009 to 2022. The study's results indicate that our multimodal machine learning algorithm, which integrates both clinical and imaging data, significantly outperforms single-source data algorithms. Specifically, it demonstrated state-of-the-art performance in classifying PCN types, achieving an average accuracy of 91.2%, precision of 91.7%, sensitivity of 88.9%, and specificity of 96.5%. Remarkably, for patients with mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCNs), regardless of undergoing MRI or CT imaging, the model achieved a 100% prediction accuracy rate. It indicates that our non-invasive multimodal machine learning model offers strong support for the early screening of MCNs, and represents a significant advancement in PCN diagnosis for improving clinical practice and patient outcomes. We also achieved the best results on an additional pancreatic cancer dataset, which further proves the generality of our model.