Abstract
Background: Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) have advanced the treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), yet their association with cancer risk remains subject of ongoing research. Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is a well-established risk factor for pancreatic cancer, yet the impact of GLP-1 RA therapy in this high-risk population is unknown. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the association between GLP-1 RA use and pancreatic cancer incidence among patients with CP, and among those with CP and T2DM. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study using data from TriNetX, a healthcare database of over 150 million patients in the United States. In the first analysis, adult patients with pre-existing CP were identified and stratified by use of a GLP-1 RA (semaglutide, dulaglutide, tirzepatide, exenatide, liraglutide, lixisenatide, and albiglutide). Propensity score matching (PSM) was conducted between GLP1-RA users and non-users, matching for age, sex, race, tobacco use, alcohol use, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, obesity, and pancreatic cysts. Five-year incidence of pancreatic cancer was compared between GLP-1 RA users and non-users in the matched cohort between 2015 and 2025. We then restricted the cohort to patients with CP and T2DM and repeated this analysis. Results: We identified 89,596 patients with CP, including 3183 GLP-1 RA users and 86,413 non-users. After PSM, GLP-1 RA use was associated with a lower 5-year incidence of pancreatic cancer (hazard ratio (HR) 0.49, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.30-0.80, p < 0.005). Similarly, amongst patients with CP and T2DM, GLP-1 RA use was associated with a lower 5-year incidence of pancreatic cancer (HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.31-0.91, p < 0.05). Conclusions: GLP-1 RA use was associated with a significantly reduced incidence of pancreatic cancer in all patients with CP, as well as the subpopulation with both CP and T2DM. Given the elevated cancer risk in CP, these findings suggest a potential beneficial effect of GLP-1RA use in this high-risk population. Prospective studies will be important to further analyze and confirm this potential benefit.