Temporal distribution characteristics of Salmonella foodborne disease in China based on the circular distribution method

基于循环分布法的中国沙门氏菌食源性疾病时间分布特征分析

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Abstract

OBJECTIVE: The temporal distribution characteristics of Salmonella-associated foodborne disease cases in China from 2014 to 2024 were examined to estimate the peak time point and epidemic period and to inform seasonal prevention efforts. METHODS: Data on Salmonella-positive foodborne disease cases reported to the National Foodborne Disease Active Surveillance System during 2014-2024 were extracted. Circular distribution analysis was used to assess seasonal concentration and estimate peak timing, and Rayleigh's Z test was used to evaluate seasonal clustering. RESULTS: Salmonella-associated foodborne disease showed clear seasonality, with a mean peak time point occurring on July 17 and a peak epidemic period spanning from May 17 to September 26. CONCLUSION: Salmonella-associated foodborne disease in China shows a clear seasonal concentration, with a peak occurring in summer. These findings support prioritizing enhanced food safety supervision, targeted inspections of high-risk food settings, and strengthened public risk communication from May to September to reduce preventable exposures during the identified high-risk period.

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