Abstract
Inferring dynamic cellular processes from static single-cell measurements remains a central challenge in genomics. Here we introduce ArchVelo, a new method for modeling gene regulation and inferring cell trajectories using single-cell simultaneous chromatin accessibility (scATAC-seq) and transcriptomic (scRNA-seq) profiling. ArchVelo represents chromatin accessibility as a set of archetypes-shared regulatory programs-and models their dynamic influence on transcription. Compared to previous methods, ArchVelo improves inference accuracy and gene-level latent time alignment, and enables identification of the underlying transcription factor activity. We benchmark ArchVelo on developing mouse brain and human hematopoiesis datasets and apply it to CD8 T cells responding to viral infection, revealing distinct trajectories of differentiation and proliferation. Focusing on the progenitor CD8 T cell population with key roles in sustaining immune responses and translationally linked to immunotherapy outcomes, we identify a previously uncharacterized differentiation trajectory from Ccr6 (-) to Ccr6 (+) progenitors, shared between acute and chronic infection. In sum, ArchVelo provides a principled framework for modeling dynamic gene regulation in multi-omic single-cell data across biological systems.