Abstract
BACKGROUND: Patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) combined with hepatic lymph node (HLN) metastases have a poor prognosis. In this study, we developed and validated a model using clinical and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) parameters to predict HLN status before surgery. METHODS: A total of 104 CRLM patients undergoing hepatic lymphonodectomy with pathologically confirmed HLN status after preoperative chemotherapy were enrolled in this study. The patients were further divided into a training group (n = 52) and a validation group (n = 52). The apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values, including ADC(mean) and ADC(min) of the largest HLN before and after treatment, were measured. rADC was calculated referring to the target liver metastases, spleen, and psoas major muscle (rADC(-LM), rADC(-SP,) rADC(-m)). In addition, ADC change rate (Δ% ADC) was quantitatively calculated. A multivariate logistic regression model for predicting HLN status in CRLM patients was constructed using the training group and further tested in the validation group. RESULTS: In the training cohort, post-ADC(mean) (P = 0.018) and the short diameter of the largest lymph node after treatment (P = 0.001) were independent predictors for metastatic HLN in CRLM patients. The model's AUC was 0.859 (95% CI, 0.757-0.961) and 0.767 (95% CI 0.634-0.900) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Patients with metastatic HLN showed significantly worse overall survival (p = 0.035) and recurrence-free survival (p = 0.015) than patients with negative HLN. CONCLUSIONS: The developed model using MRI parameters could accurately predict HLN metastases in CRLM patients and could be used to preoperatively assess the HLN status and facilitate surgical treatment decisions in patients with CRLM.