Abstract
BACKGROUND: Pericardial effusion is common in hospitalized patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We sought to identify predictors and prognostic impact of pericardial effusion in CKD patients. HYPOTHESIS: Clinical and biochemical parameters can predict pericardial effusion in CKD patients. METHODS: In a retrospective nested case-control design, we analyzed hospitalized adult patients with CKD stage 4, 5, or end-stage renal disease diagnosed with pericardial effusion. Controls were same-stage CKD patients without effusion. RESULTS: Among 84 cases and 61 controls, 44% and 34% were on dialysis, respectively. The mean creatinine was higher among cases versus controls (8.4±6.0 vs. 6.0±3.4 mg/dL, P = 0.002). Effusion was moderate to large in 46% of cases. Independent predictors of any pericardial effusion were serum potassium (OR: 1.95 per 1-mEq/L increment, 95% CI: 1.21-3.13, P = 0.006), serum corrected calcium (OR: 1.33 per 1-mg/dL decrement, 95% CI: 1.11-1.67, P = 0.015), and admission heart rate (OR: 1.29 per 10-bpm increment, 95% CI: 1.03-1.62, P = 0.027). Corrected calcium level was an independent predictor of moderate to large pericardial effusion (OR: 1.38 per 1-mg/dL decrement, 95% CI: 1.04-1.82, P = 0.023). Corrected calcium <8.0 mg/dL demonstrated 95% specificity for moderate to large effusion. Patients with effusion had no significant difference in the composite endpoint of mortality or cardiovascular rehospitalization (P = 0.408). CONCLUSIONS: In hospitalized CKD patients, hypocalcemia may be useful in identifying those with moderate to large pericardial effusion. In this population, pericardial effusion does not seem to be associated with adverse outcomes.