Earthquake Nowcasting: Retrospective Testing in Greece

地震临近预报:希腊的回顾性测试

阅读:1

Abstract

Earthquake nowcasting (EN) is a modern method of estimating seismic risk by evaluating the progress of the earthquake (EQ) cycle in fault systems. EN evaluation is based on a new concept of time, termed 'natural time'. EN employs natural time, and uniquely estimates seismic risk by means of the earthquake potential score (EPS), which has been found to have useful applications both regionally and globally. Amongst these applications, here we focused on Greece since 2019, for the estimation of the EPS for the largest-magnitude events, MW(USGS) ≥ 6, that occurred during our study period: for example, the MW= 6.0 WNW-of-Kissamos EQ on 27 November 2019, the MW= 6.5 off-shore Southern Crete EQ on 2 May 2020, the MW= 7.0 Samos EQ on 30 October 2020, the MW= 6.3 Tyrnavos EQ on 3 March 2021, the MW= 6.0 Arkalohorion Crete EQ on 27 September 2021, and the MW= 6.4 Sitia Crete EQ on 12 October 2021. The results are promising, and reveal that the EPS provides useful information on impending seismicity.

特别声明

1、本页面内容包含部分的内容是基于公开信息的合理引用;引用内容仅为补充信息,不代表本站立场。

2、若认为本页面引用内容涉及侵权,请及时与本站联系,我们将第一时间处理。

3、其他媒体/个人如需使用本页面原创内容,需注明“来源:[生知库]”并获得授权;使用引用内容的,需自行联系原作者获得许可。

4、投稿及合作请联系:info@biocloudy.com。