Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We aimed to characterise insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-1) signalling in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). METHODS: Consecutive patients undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] measurement were prospectively included. Clinical stages were defined as follows: probable ACLD (pACLD): liver stiffness ≥10 kPa and HVPG ≤5 mmHg, S0: mild PH (HVPG 6-9 mmHg), S1: clinically significant PH (CSPH), S2: CSPH with varices, S3: past variceal bleeding, S4: past/current non-bleeding hepatic decompensation and S5: further decompensation. RESULTS: In total, 269 patients were included; 105 were compensated (pACLD: n = 18; S0: n = 30; S1: n = 20; S2: n = 37), and 164 were decompensated (S3: n = 11; S4: n = 89; S5: n = 64). Median levels of IGF-1 decreased with progressive cirrhosis (from pACLD: 88.5 ng/mL to S5: 51.0 ng/mL; p < 0.001). Patients with CSPH had significantly lower IGF-1 levels (63.5 ng/mL vs. 81.0 ng/mL; p = 0.001). IGF-1 showed an independent negative association with body mass index (BMI; aB: -1.56; p < 0.001), enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) test (aB: -8.43; p < 0.001), MELD (aB: -1.13; p = 0.042) and age (per 10 years; aB: -6.87; p < 0.001). IGF-1 exhibited an excellent AUROC (0.856) for the prediction of liver-related death at 6 months of follow-up. Lower IGF-1 (per 10 ng/mL) was linked to higher risk of (further) decompensation (0.90; 95% CI: 0.83-0.98; p = 0.016), acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF; asHR: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.68-0.93; p = 0.004) and liver-related death (asHR: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.63-0.91; p = 0.004). CONCLUSION: Decreased levels of IGF-1 reflect impaired hepatic function and fibrogenesis in patients with cirrhosis, which seems particularly relevant in obesity since low IGF-1 was independently linked to high BMI. Lower IGF-1 in cirrhosis predicts decompensation, ACLF and liver-related death.