Abstract
Human infection with the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is mediated by the binding of the spike protein of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) to the human angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2). The frequent mutations in the receptor-binding domain (RBD) of the spike protein induced the emergence of variants with increased contagion and can hinder vaccine efficiency. Hence, it is crucial to better understand the binding mechanisms of variant RBDs to human ACE2 and develop efficient methods to characterize this interaction. In this work, we present an approach that uses machine learning to analyze the molecular dynamics simulations of RBD variant trajectories bound to ACE2. Along with the binding free energy calculation, this method was used to characterize the major differences in ACE2-binding capacity of three SARS-CoV-2 RBD variants-namely the original Wuhan strain, Omicron BA.1, and the more recent Omicron BA.5 sublineages. Our analyses assessed the differences in binding free energy and shed light on how it affects the infectious rates of different variants. Furthermore, this approach successfully characterized key binding interactions and could be deployed as an efficient tool to predict different binding inhibitors to pave the way for new preventive and therapeutic strategies.