Abstract
Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a significant complication in burn patients, impacting outcomes substantially. This study explores the heterogeneity of AKI in burn patients by analyzing creatinine time-series data to identify distinct AKI clusters and evaluating routine biomarkers' predictive values. A retrospective cohort analysis was performed on 2608 adult burn patients admitted to Hangang Sacred Heart Hospital's Burn Intensive Care Unit (BICU) from July 2010 to December 2022. Patients were divided into four clusters based on creatinine trajectories, ranging from high-risk, severe cases to lower-risk, short-term care cases. Cluster A, characterized by high-risk, severe cases, showed the highest mortality and severity, with significant predictors being PT and TB. Cluster B, representing intermediate recovery cases, highlighted PT and albumin as useful predictors. Cluster C, a low-risk, high-resilience group, demonstrated predictive values for cystatin C and eGFR cys. Cluster D, comprising lower-risk, short-term care patients, indicated the importance of PT and lactate. Key biomarkers, including albumin, prothrombin time (PT), cystatin C, eGFR cys, and total bilirubin (TB), were identified as significant predictors of AKI development, varying across clusters. Diagnostic accuracy was assessed using area under the curve (AUC) metrics, reclassification metrics (NRI and IDI), and decision curve analysis. Cystatin C and eGFR cys consistently provided significant predictive value over creatinine, with AUC values significantly higher (p < 0.05) in each cluster. This study highlights the need for a tailored, biomarker-driven approach to AKI management in burn patients, advocating for the integration of diverse biomarkers in clinical practice to facilitate personalized treatment strategies. Future research should validate these biomarkers prospectively to confirm their clinical utility.