Abstract
This study aimed to develop and validate an analysis system based on preoperative computed tomography (CT) to predict the risk stratification in pediatric malignant peripheral neuroblastic tumors (PNTs). A total of 405 patients with malignant PNTs (184 girls and 221 boys; mean age, 33.8 ± 29.1 months) were retrospectively evaluated between January 2010 and June 2018. Radiomic features were extracted from manually segmented tumors on preoperative CT images. Spearman's rank correlation coefficient and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) were used to eliminate redundancy and select features. A risk model was built to stratify low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups. An image-defined risk factor (IDRFs) model was developed to classify 266 patients with malignant PNTs and one or more IDRFs into high-risk and non-high-risk groups. The performance of the predictive models was evaluated with respect to accuracy (Acc) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, including the area under the ROC curve (AUC). The risk model demonstrated good discrimination capability, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.903 to distinguish high-risk from non-high-risk groups, and 0.747 to classify intermediate- and low-risk groups. In the IDRF-based risk model with the number of IDRFs, the AUC was 0.876 for classifying the high-risk and non-high-risk groups. Radiomic analysis based on preoperative CT images has the potential to stratify the risk of pediatric malignant PNTs. It had outstanding efficiency in distinguishing patients in the high-risk group, and this predictive model of risk stratification could assist in selecting optimal aggressive treatment options.