Predicting the localized prevalence of ascariasis in the Philippines using bioclimatic and topographical covariates: a case study in Cavite province

利用生物气候和地形协变量预测菲律宾蛔虫病的局部流行率:以甲米地省为例

阅读:1

Abstract

Ascariasis is a disease caused by Ascaris lumbricoides and the most common soil-transmitted helminth (STH) infection worldwide, with over 807 to 1.2 billion reported cases. Ascariasis remains prevalent in the Philippines, a tropical and developing country, and is a major problem among school children. In Luzon Island alone, the biggest island of the archipelago, cases of Ascariasis remain to be a known prevalent yet localized risk map of its distribution among marginalized provinces in the country is still neglected. Therefore, the first base map that considered the potentialities of Ascariasis distribution in Cavite province was established using ArcMap software version 10.8.2. Meanwhile, the bioclimatic, soil, and elevation variables in the modeling of the disease employ the free software package Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt); Bayesian geostatistical models predicted that the highest prevalence of Ascariasis is in Cavite. Primary data on the prevalence of Ascariasis were collected from the 22 cities and municipalities of Cavite. The results showed a relatively moderate AUC value of 0.654 which also points to the city of Bacoor in Cavite as having the greatest risk of prevalence. Predictive maps generated in this study call out public health mitigation of the STH disease.

特别声明

1、本页面内容包含部分的内容是基于公开信息的合理引用;引用内容仅为补充信息,不代表本站立场。

2、若认为本页面引用内容涉及侵权,请及时与本站联系,我们将第一时间处理。

3、其他媒体/个人如需使用本页面原创内容,需注明“来源:[生知库]”并获得授权;使用引用内容的,需自行联系原作者获得许可。

4、投稿及合作请联系:info@biocloudy.com。