Estimating PM(2.5) concentrations at public schools in North Carolina using multiple data sources and interpolation methods

利用多种数据源和插值方法估算北卡罗来纳州公立学校的PM2.5浓度

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Abstract

Air pollution, particularly fine particulate matter (PM(2.5)), poses serious health risks to children. Public schools are key locations for assessing air quality exposure. This study estimates PM(2.5) concentrations at North Carolina public schools using EPA and PurpleAir monitor data, applying Kriging and Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) interpolation. Cross-validation is used to evaluate predictive accuracy. Whereas EPA monitors offer precise but spatially sparse data, PurpleAir monitors provide real-time, widespread coverage with variable accuracy. Combining both improves spatial resolution and predictive power. Kriging, which incorporates both distance and spatial correlation, consistently outperforms IDW in estimating PM(2.5), especially near EPA sites. The addition of PurpleAir data enhances accuracy further, particularly in areas lacking EPA monitors. School-level PM(2.5) estimates reveal suburban schools often face higher pollution levels. Linking these estimates to 8th grade reading scores indicates a negative relationship between PM(2.5) exposure and academic performance, suggesting possible cognitive impacts of air pollution. These findings underscore the importance of integrating PurpleAir monitors at school locations to improve air quality monitoring. Enhanced monitoring would support public health protections and inform education policy. Overall, combining EPA and PurpleAir data using Kriging offers a more accurate, actionable approach to understanding and addressing environmental determinants of student well-being and achievement.

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