Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Gastrointestinal neuroendocrine neoplasms (GI-NENs) exhibit heterogeneity in biological behavior, making it difficult to predict prognosis. We established the P Grade based on (68)Ga-DOTANOC and (18)F-FDG PET dual scans and evaluated the prognostic significance in patients with metastatic GI-NENs. METHODS: The P Grade was categorized based on SSTRI/FDG uptake into P1 (DOTANOC positive/FDG negative), P2 (DOTANOC positive/FDG positive), and P3 (DOTANOC negative/FDG positive). Patients would be classified into P grades based on dual scan. results. Then they were divided into medical treatment and surgical group. The correlation of P Grade with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis, and performed univariate and multivariate analyzes of relevant clinicopathological variables with PFS and OS. RESULTS: Two hundred forty-three patients with metastatic GI-NENs were enrolled. P Grade exhibited notable statistical significance with OS and PFS in overall cohort on univariate and multivariate analysis (all p < 0.01). In surgery group, P Grade demonstrated independent predictive value for OS and PFS (all p < 0.01). In medical treatment group, P Grade demonstrated predictive value for PFS (all p < 0.01) and predicted OS (univariate P3vsP1, p < 0.01). Additional predictors of OS and PFS included WHO grade, age at diagnosis, location of primary site, sex and extrahepatic disease, they all had statistical significance with OS or PFS (p < 0.05) except sex factors. CONCLUSION: Our cohort study demonstrates that P Grade obtained by combining (68)Ga-DOTANOC and 18 F-FDG PET is a significant prognostic indicator for patients with metastatic GI-NENs, regardless of whether received medical treatment or surgical resection of the primary site. This will bring a new predictive tool to clinical practice and be applicable to patients with different treatment modalities. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-026-04746-0.