Hybrid Galam-Bass Model for Technology Innovation

混合型 Galam-Bass 技术创新模型

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Abstract

This work proposes a hybrid model that combines the Galam model of opinion dynamics with the Bass diffusion model used in technology adoption on Barabasi-Albert complex networks. The main idea is to advance a version of the Bass model that can suitably describe an opinion formation context while introducing irreversible transitions from group B (opponents) to group A (supporters). Moreover, we extend the model to take into account the presence of a charismatic competitor, which fosters conversion back to the old technology. The approach is different from the introduction of a mean field due to the interactions driven by the network structure. Additionally, we introduce the Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy to quantify the system's unpredictability and information loss over time. The results show an increase in the regularity of the trajectories as the preferential attachment parameter increases.

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