Abstract
Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) has a fibroproliferative phase that may be followed by pulmonary fibrosis. This has been described in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia, but the underlying mechanisms have not been completely defined. We hypothesized that protein mediators of tissue remodeling and monocyte chemotaxis are elevated in the plasma and endotracheal aspirates of critically ill patients with COVID-19 who subsequently develop radiographic fibrosis. We enrolled COVID-19 patients admitted to the ICU who had hypoxemic respiratory failure, were hospitalized and alive for at least 10 days, and had chest imaging done during hospitalization ( n = 119). Plasma was collected within 24h of ICU admission and at 7d. In mechanically ventilated patients, endotracheal aspirates (ETA) were collected at 24h and 48-96h. Protein concentrations were measured by immunoassay. We tested for associations between protein concentrations and radiographic evidence of fibrosis using logistic regression adjusting for age, sex, and APACHE score. We identified 39 patients (33%) with features of fibrosis. Within 24h of ICU admission, plasma proteins related to tissue remodeling (MMP-9, Amphiregulin) and monocyte chemotaxis (CCL-2/MCP-1, CCL-13/MCP-4) were associated with the subsequent development of fibrosis whereas markers of inflammation (IL-6, TNF-α) were not. After 1 week, plasma MMP-9 increased in patients without fibrosis. In ETAs, only CCL-2/MCP-1 was associated with fibrosis at the later timepoint. This cohort study identifies proteins of tissue remodeling and monocyte recruitment that may identify early fibrotic remodeling following COVID-19. Measuring changes in these proteins over time may allow for early detection of fibrosis in patients with COVID-19.