The Role of Prognostic Scores in Assessing the Prognosis of Patients Admitted in the Cardiac Intensive Care Unit: Emphasis on Heart Failure Patients

预后评分在评估心脏重症监护病房患者预后中的作用:以心力衰竭患者为例

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Abstract

Background/Objectives: Patient care in Cardiac Intensive Care Units (CICU) has evolved but data on patient characteristics and outcomes are sparse. This retrospective observational study aimed to define clinical characteristics and risk factors of CICU patients, their in-hospital and 30-day mortality, and compare it with established risk scores. Methods: Consecutive patients (n = 294, mean age 70 years, 74% males) hospitalized within 15 months were studied; APACHE II, EHMRG, GWTG-HF, and GRACE II were calculated on admission. Results: Most patients were admitted for ACS (48.3%) and acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) (31.3%). Median duration of hospitalization was 2 days (IQR = 1, 4). In-hospital infection occurred in 20%, 18% needed mechanical ventilation, 10% renal replacement therapy and 4% percutaneous ventricular assist devices (33%, 29%, 20% and 4%, respectively, for ADHF). In-hospital and 30-day mortality was 18% and 11% for all patients (29% and 23%, respectively, for ADHF). Established scores (especially APACHE II) had a good diagnostic accuracy (area under the curve-AUC). In univariate and multivariate analyses in-hospital intubation and infection, history of coronary artery disease, hypotension, uremia and hypoxemia on admission were the most important risk factors. Based on these, a proposed new score showed a diagnostic accuracy of 0.954 (AUC) for in-hospital mortality, outperforming previous scores. Conclusions: Patients are admitted mainly with ACS or ADHF, the latter with worse prognosis. Several patients need advanced support; intubation and infections adversely affect prognosis. Established scores predict mortality satisfactorily, but larger studies are needed to develop CICU-directed scores to identify risk factors, improve prediction, guide treatment and staff training.

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