Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Inflammation is closely associated with tumor development and patient prognosis. The objective of this study is to assess the prognostic value of the preoperative inflammatory indexes in pediatric hepatoblastoma patients who receive neoadjuvant chemotherapy. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed on clinical and pathological data of 199 hepatoblastoma patients who underwent hepatectomy with preoperative neoadjuvant chemotherapy from January 2015 to June 2020. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) in predicting OS and EFS. Patients were grouped based on optimal cutoff values of preoperative inflammatory indexes. Survival rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and survival outcomes were compared between groups using the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to identify independent prognostic factors, and a nomogram was constructed using R software to predict the probability of OS. RESULTS: The receiver operating characteristic curve showed prognostic value for OS, not EFS, in preoperative inflammatory indexes. Patients were categorized into low/high groups: SII ≤ 266.70/higher, NLR ≤ 1.24/higher, PLR ≤ 85.25/higher, and SIRI ≤ 0.72/higher. High NLR, PLR, SII, and SIRI groups had significantly lower 5-year OS than their low counterparts (all p-value < 0.05). The Cox analysis identified four independent prognostic factors: SIRI (HR=2.997, 95% CI: 1.119-8.031), microvascular invasion (HR=2.556, 95% CI: 1.14-5.73), the post-treatment extent of disease (POSTTEXT) staging (IV vs. I: HR=244.204, 95% CI:11.306-5274.556), and alpha-fetoprotein (>100 ng/ml: HR=0.11, 95% CI: 0.032-0.381) for hepatoblastoma patients with neoadjuvant chemotherapy. High SIRI group had more patients with adverse NLR, SII, and POSTTEXT III (all p-value < 0.05). Independent prognostic factors led to an OS nomogram with a concordance index of 0.85 (95% CI: 0.78-0.91, p-value = 1.43e-27) and the calibration curve showed a good fit between the prediction curve and the true curve. CONCLUSIONS: SIRI is an independent prognostic factor of hepatoblastoma patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy. The OS nomogram based on SIRI, POSTTEXT staging, MiVI, and AFP can be used to assess the prognosis of those patients.