Abstract
BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)-based combination therapy has opened a new avenue for the treatment of multiple malignancies including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, considering the unsatisfactory efficacy, biomarkers are urgently needed to identify the patients most likely to benefit from ICI-based combination therapy. METHODS: A total of 194 patients undergoing ICI-based combination therapy for unresectable HCC were retrospectively enrolled and divided into a training cohort (n = 129) and a validation cohort (n = 65) randomly. A novel circulating immune index (CII) defined as the ratio of white blood cell count (×10(9)/L) to lymphocyte proportion (%) was constructed and its prognostic value was determined and validated. RESULTS: Patients with CII ≤ 43.1 reported prolonged overall survival (OS) compared to those with CII > 43.1 (median OS: 24.7 vs 15.1 months; 6-, 12-, 18-month OS: 94.2%, 76.7%, 66.1% vs 86.4%, 68.2%, 22.8%, P = 0.019), and CII was identified as an independent prognostic factor for OS (hazard ratio, 2.24; 95% confidence interval, 1.17-4.31; P = 0.015). These results were subsequently verified in the validation cohort. Additionally, patients with low CII levels had improved best radiological tumor response (complete response, partial response, stable disease, progressive disease: 3%, 36%, 50%, 11% vs 0%, 27%, 46%, 27%; P = 0.037) and disease control rate (89% vs 73%; P = 0.031) in the pooled cohort and better pathologic response (pathologic complete response, major pathologic response, partial pathologic response, no pathologic response: 20%, 44%, 28%, 8% vs 0%, 0%, 40%, 60%; P = 0.005) in the neoadjuvant cohort. Detection of lymphocyte subsets revealed that an elevated proportion of CD4+ T cells was related to better OS, while the proportion of CD8+ T cells was not. CONCLUSIONS: We constructed a novel circulating immune biomarker that was capable of predicting OS and therapeutic efficacy for HCC patients undergoing ICI and lenvatinib combination therapy.