Abstract
Due to the high variance in response rates concerning anti-PD1 immunotherapy (IT), there is an unmet need to discover innovative biomarkers to predict immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)-efficacy. Our study included 62 Caucasian advanced-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients treated with anti-PD1 ICI. Gut bacterial signatures were evaluated by metagenomic sequencing and correlated with progression-free survival (PFS), PD-L1 expression and other clinicopathological parameters. We confirmed the predictive role of PFS-related key bacteria with multivariate statistical models (Lasso- and Cox-regression) and validated on an additional patient cohort (n = 60). We find that alpha-diversity showed no significant difference in any comparison. However, there was a significant difference in beta-diversity between patients with long- (>6 months) vs. short (≤6 months) PFS and between chemotherapy (CHT)-treated vs. CHT-naive cases. Short PFS was associated with increased abundance of Firmicutes (F) and Actinobacteria phyla, whereas elevated abundance of Euryarchaeota was specific for low PD-L1 expression. F/Bacteroides (F/B) ratio was significantly increased in patients with short PFS. Multivariate analysis revealed an association between Alistipes shahii, Alistipes finegoldii, Barnesiella visceriola, and long PFS. In contrast, Streptococcus salivarius, Streptococcus vestibularis, and Bifidobacterium breve were associated with short PFS. Using Random Forest machine learning approach, we find that taxonomic profiles performed superiorly in predicting PFS (AUC = 0.74), while metabolic pathways including Amino Acid Synthesis and Fermentation were better predictors of PD-L1 expression (AUC = 0.87). We conclude that specific metagenomic features of the gut microbiome, including bacterial taxonomy and metabolic pathways might be suggestive of ICI efficacy and PD-L1 expression in NSCLC patients.