Research on gas emission quantity prediction model based on EDA-IGA

基于EDA-IGA的气体排放量预测模型研究

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Abstract

In order to accurately predict the possible gas emission quantity in coal mines, it is proposed to use the multi-thread calculation of the Immune Genetic Algorithm (IGA) and injection of vaccines to improve the accuracy of prediction and combine the Estimation of Distribution Algorithm (EDA) to the distribution probability of excellent populations. Calculating, and selecting excellent populations for iteration, optimize the population generation process of the Immune Genetic Algorithm, so that the population quality is continuously optimized and improved, and the optimal solution is obtained, thereby establishing a gas emission quantity prediction model based on the Immune Genetic Algorithm and Estimation of Distribution Algorithm. Using the 9136 mining face with gas emission hazards in a coal mine from Shandong Province in China as the prediction object, the absolute gas emission quantity is used to scale the gas emission quantity, and it is found that the model can accurately predict the gas emission quantity, which is consistent with the on-site emission unanimous. In the prediction comparison with IGA, it is found that the accuracy of the prediction results has increased by 9.51%, and the number of iterations to achieve the required goal has been reduced by 67%, indicating that the EDA has a better role in optimizing the population update process such as genetic selection of the IGA. Comparing the prediction results of other models, it is found that the prediction accuracy of the EDA-IGA is 94.93%, which is the highest prediction accuracy, indicating that this prediction model can be used as a new method for the prediction of coal mine gas emission. Accurately predicting the gas emission quantity can provide guidance for safe mining in coal mines. The gas emission quantity can also be used as a safety indicator to reduce the possibility of coal mine accidents, ensure the personal safety of coal miners and reduce economic losses in coal mines.

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