Abstract
This paper explores methodologies to enhance the integration of a green supply chain circular economy within smart cities by incorporating machine learning technology. To refine the precision and effectiveness of the prediction model, the gravitational algorithm is introduced to optimize parameter selection in the support vector machine model. A nationwide prediction model for green supply chain economic development efficiency is meticulously constructed by leveraging public economic, environmental, and demographic data. A comprehensive empirical analysis follows, revealing a noteworthy reduction in mean squared error and root mean squared error with increasing iterations, reaching a minimum of 0.007 and 0.103, respectively-figures that are the lowest among all considered machine learning models. Moreover, the mean absolute percentage error value is remarkably low at 0.0923. The data illustrate a gradual decline in average prediction error and standard deviation throughout the model optimization process, indicative of both model convergence and heightened prediction accuracy. These results underscore the significant potential of machine learning technology in optimizing supply chain and circular economy management. The paper provides valuable insights for decision-makers and researchers navigating the landscape of sustainable development.