The Associations of Long-Term Temperature and Precipitation with Chronic Respiratory Symptoms: Projections for the Changing Climate

长期气温和降水与慢性呼吸系统症状的关联:气候变化下的预测

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Abstract

PURPOSE: To clarify the associations of climatic indices with chronic respiratory symptoms, with a final aim to approximate the effects of climate change on them. METHODS: An e-mail survey was directed to the members of the Finnish Pensioners` Federation. The mean 20-years' precipitation and temperature in each subjects' home municipality were obtained from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, separately for summer and winter. Adjusted multivariate models were utilized to investigate the associations of the climatic indices with chronic rhinosinusitis, chronic cough, wheezing with dyspnea, and sleep apnea. RESULTS: There were 6189 responders from 283 municipalities. Chronic rhinosinusitis and chronic cough were most prevalent in the southeastern regions of the country, where the precipitation counts were highest. In the multivariate models, winter precipitation in the home municipality increased the risks of chronic rhinosinusitis and chronic cough [adjusted OR 1.80 (1.30-2.51) per 100 mm, p < 0.001, and 1.57 (1.19-2.07) per 100 mm, p = 0.001, respectively]. Wheezing with dyspnea and sleep apnea were not associated with the climatic indices. CONCLUSION: Chronic rhinosinusitis and chronic cough were associated with long-term winter precipitation. Given the anticipated increase in winter precipitation in Northern America and Northern Europe, the prevalences of chronic rhinosinusitis and chronic cough may increase there.

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