Ability of presepsin concentrations to predict mortality in adult patients with sepsis

前降钙素原浓度预测成人脓毒症患者死亡率的能力

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Early diagnosis of sepsis is essential for a favorable disease outcome. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association of initial and subsequent presepsin concentrations with sepsis outcomes. METHODS: One hundred sepsis patients were enrolled in the study from two different university centers. Four times during study, concentrations of presepsin, procalcitonin (PCT), and C-reactive protein (CRP) were measured, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) score were calculated. Patients were grouped into survivors and nonsurvivors. A sandwich ELISA kit was used to measure presepsin concentrations. To test the changes in biomarkers concentrations and SOFA score and APACHE II score during the disease course and to estimate the differences between outcome groups, generalized linear mixed effects model was used. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to determine the prognostic value of presepsin concentrations. RESULTS: Initial values of presepsin, SOFA score, and APACHE II score were significantly higher in nonsurvivors compared to survivors. Concentrations of PCT and CRP did not differ significantly between outcome groups. ROC curve analyses show a greater predictive ability of initial presepsin concentrations for predicting mortality compared to subsequent measurements of presepsin concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: Presepsin has a good ability to predict mortality. Initial presepsin concentrations better reflects poor disease outcome compared to presepsin concentrations 24 and 72 hours after admission.

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