The human life vs economic loss dilemma: Relation between death rate and the output rate in Europe during the Covid 19 pandemic

生命与经济损失之间的两难困境:新冠疫情期间欧洲死亡率与产出率之间的关系

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Abstract

I analyze the human life-economic loss dilemma (HELD) trade-off between saving lives ad saving economic activities during the emergency period of Covid 19 pandemic. A new concept labeled HELD Curve, not addressed in the literature so far, is proposed to model the inverse non-linear relation between loss of economic activity and death rates during the Covid 19 Pandemic in Europe, due to the lockdown policy. Econometric estimation supports this view offering to policymakers a tool to assess the impact of continuing the lockdown. The HELD curve elasticity implies a trade-off of 218 thousand EURO per saved human life.

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