Abstract
PURPOSE: This study investigated possible mechanism of left atrial appendage (LAA) thrombosis and constructed a model to evaluate the future risk of LAA thrombosis and spontaneous echo contrast (SEC) in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients. METHODS: This retrospective study included 2591 patients diagnosed with NVAF. Patients were divided based on the presence of transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) into a thrombus group, SEC group, and control group. General, biochemical, and echocardiography data of the three groups were analyzed. The variables independently associated with LAA thrombosis and SEC were determined by the logistic regression analysis. A nomogram was constituted based on the regression analysis and the discriminatory ability was analyzed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS: LAA thrombosis and SEC were present in 110 (4.2%) patients and 103 (3.9%) patients, respectively. AF type (OR = 1.857), previous stroke (OR = 1.924), fibrinogen (OR = 1.636), diameters of the left atria (OR = 1.094), left ventricular ejection fraction (OR = 0.938), and LAA maximum caliber (OR = 1.238) resulted as independent risk factors for LAA thrombosis and SEC. The area under curve of the nomogram established by multivariate logistic regression was 0.824. Conclusions; Through the study, 6 independent risk factors related to the LAA thrombosis and SEC were found, and an effective nomogram was constructed to predict the LAA thrombosis and SEC in NVAF patients.