Abstract
BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether local pathological pulmonary changes truly reflect the severity of childhood Mycoplasma pneumoniae infection, which is characterized by rapid progress and potential mortality. This study multi-dimensionally analyzed low-dose computed tomography findings to assess the severity of Mycoplasma pneumoniae infection and predict its progress in such patients. METHODS: In all, 752 children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) who underwent low-dose computed tomography examinations from February 2016 to July 2020 were retrospectively enrolled to conduct a cohort study. Clinical and radiological variables were analyzed using univariate analysis, and radiological variables were further analyzed using multivariable logistic regression in severe cases. Then, the correlation between the key computed tomography features and clinical symptoms, laboratory indicators, and medical costs were assessed using the chi-squared and Kruskal-Wallis H tests. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression models were created to evaluate the correlations between the key computed tomography features, fever duration, and the length of hospital stay. RESULTS: Of the 752 included patients, 16.2% (122/752) developed severe MPP. Atelectasis, pleural effusion, and lung consolidation occurred in 9.7% (73/752), 15.8% (119/752), and 90.3% (679/752) of patients, respectively. In addition to pleural effusion, the number of lobes of lung consolidation was the highest risk feature of severe MPP. Patients with consolidation in 2, 3, and 4 lobes had a 1.0-, 3.1-, and 7.5-fold increased risk of severe MPP, compared with patients with consolidation in fewer than 1 lobe. The duration of fever prior to admission had no effect on the proportions of the lobar consolidation (P=0.14) but did have significant effect on the incidence of pleural effusion (P=0.004). Levels of inflammatory markers and medical costs rose consistently with the increase in the number of lobar consolidations (P<0.001). After adjustments for pleural effusion, 1, 2, 3, and 4 lobes of consolidation remained positively associated with fever duration [1 lobe: hazard ratio (HR) =1.55, 95% CI: 1.10-2.18; 2 lobes: HR =1.65, 95% CI: 1.13-2.42l; 3 lobes: HR =1.82, 95% CI: 1.11-2.98; 4 lobes: HR =2.87, 95% CI: 1.25-6.61] compared to 0 lobes of consolidation. Compared to 0 lobes of consolidation, 1, 2, 3, and 4 lobes of consolidation were also positively correlated with the length of hospital stay (1 lobe: HR =2.24, 95% CI: 1.73-2.89; 2 lobes: HR =2.56, 95% CI: 1.91-3.43; 3 lobes: HR =2.87, 95% CI: 1.90-4.32; 4 lobes: HR =4.12, 95% CI: 2.01-8.46). CONCLUSIONS: Lobar consolidation is a stable and reliable computed tomography feature that can be used to assess the severity of MPP in children. Quantitative analysis of lobar consolidation can comprehensively and accurately predict the progression of Mycoplasma pneumoniae. Low-dose computed tomography is recommended for children with severe MPP with complicated courses.