Abstract
BACKGROUND: Chronic systolic heart failure (CSHF) is a significant health burden with high morbidity and mortality. The role of subclinical hypothyroidism (SCH) in the prognosis of CSHF patients remains a critical area of inquiry. This systematic review and meta-analysis aim to elucidate the impact of SCH on the prognosis of patients with CSHF. METHODS: Adhering to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, this meta-analysis employed a comprehensive search strategy across major databases including PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library. The Patient, Intervention, Comparison, Outcome framework guided the inclusion of studies focusing on patients with CSHF, comparing those with and without SCH. Quality assessment was performed using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. Statistical analyses assessed heterogeneity and publication bias, employing fixed-effect or random-effects models based on heterogeneity levels. RESULTS: From an initial pool of 1439 articles, 8 studies met the stringent inclusion criteria. These studies, conducted across diverse geographical regions, highlighted the relationship between SCH and all-cause mortality, cardiac events, and subgroup differences in CSHF patients. The meta-analysis revealed SCH as a significant risk factor for all-cause mortality (HR = 1.42) and cardiac events (HR = 1.46). Subgroup analysis indicated variability in risk based on region, sample size, age, and follow-up duration. Sensitivity analysis confirmed the stability of these findings, and publication bias assessment indicated symmetric funnel plot and nonsignificant Egger test results. CONCLUSIONS: SCH emerges as a predictive factor for all-cause mortality, cardiovascular events, and rehospitalization in CSHF patients. This finding underscores the importance of screening for SCH in CSHF patients, highlighting its potential role in improving patient prognosis.