Abstract
African swine fever (ASF), caused by African swine fever virus (ASFv), is a highly contagious disease of domestic and wild pigs with a mortality rate that can reach 100%. Continuous spread of the virus into ASF-free regions, including the Caribbean island of Hispaniola in 2021, is causing socioeconomic burdens and presents a threat to food security. Pork-producing countries, including the United States and Canada, are urgently looking for efficient tools for early detection to reduce spread of the virus in the event of an outbreak. Previous experimental infection studies evaluated the utility of aggregate porcine oral fluids (OFs) as a sample type with a highly sensitive ASFv real-time PCR for individual blood and tissue-based diagnosis. In this study, real-time PCR with porcine OFs was further evaluated to better understand diagnostic performance using samples from three Romanian farms with an ongoing ASF outbreak. In this limited dataset using a Bayesian latent class model, no statistical difference in diagnostic sensitivity was found between the real-time PCR using aggregate OFs and the process of determining pen disease status by testing individual blood samples collected from a subset of pigs from the same pen. Known negative aggregate OF samples from pigs in the United States had no occurrences of false positives, suggesting reliable diagnostic specificity of the sample matrix used for this study. Until results are produced from further studies with sufficient sample size, aggregate OF testing using real-time PCR could cautiously be used as a supplementary sample type for ASF diagnosis alongside currently approved sample types, including blood and lymphoid tissues.