Abstract
Prior evidence evaluating the benefits and harms of expectant labour duration during active first stage is inconclusive regarding potential consequences for the neonate. Population-based cohort study in Stockholm-Gotland region, Sweden, including 46,040 women (Robson 1), between October 1st, 2008 and June 15th, 2020. Modified Poisson regression was used for the association between active first stage of labour duration and adverse neonatal outcomes. 94.2% experienced a delivery with normal neonatal outcomes. Absolute risk for severe outcomes increased from 1.9 to 3.0%, moderate outcomes increased from 2.8 to 6.2% (> 10.1 h). Compared to the reference, (< 5.1 h; median), the adjusted relative risk (aRR) of severe neonatal outcome significantly increased beyond 10.1 h (> 90th percentile) (aRR 1.53, 95% CI 1.26, 1.87), for moderate neonatal outcome the aRR began to slowly increase beyond 5.1 h (≥ 50 percentile; aRR 1.40, 95% CI 1.24, 1.58). Mediation analysis indicate that most of the association was due to a longer active first stage of labour, 13% (severe neonatal outcomes) and 20% (moderate neonatal outcomes) of the risk was mediated (indirect effect) by longer second stage of labour duration. We report an association between increasing active first stage duration and increased risk of adverse neonatal outcomes. We did not observe a clear labour duration risk threshold.