Abstract
The aim of the study was to investigate the effects of seasonal variability of insolation, the implementation of new recommendations for vitamin D supplementation (2018), and the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic lockdown (2020) on 25(OH)D concentrations in children from central Poland. The retrospective analysis of variability of 25(OH)D concentrations during the last 8 years was performed in a group of 1440 children with short stature, aged 3.0-18.0 years. Significant differences in 25(OH)D concentrations were found between the periods from mid-2014 to mid-2018, from mid-2018 to mid-2020, and from mid-2020 to mid-2022 (medians: 22.9, 26.0, and 29.9 ng/mL, respectively). Time series models created on the grounds of data from 6 years of the pre-pandemic period and used for prediction for the pandemic period explained over 80% of the seasonal variability of 25(OH)D concentrations, with overprediction for the first year of the pandemic and underprediction for the second year. A significant increase in 25(OH)D concentrations was observed both after the introduction of new vitamin D supplementation guidelines and during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic; however, the scale of vitamin D deficiency and insufficiency was still too high. Time series models are useful in analyzing the impact of health policy interventions and pandemic restrictions on the seasonal variability of vitamin D concentrations.