Abstract
AIMS: The objectives of this study were to identify clinical predictors of the Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) clinical index for diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients, develop a clinical prediction model, and construct a nomogram. METHODS: We collected the TCM clinical index from 3590 T2DM recruited at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine from January 2019 to October 2020. The participants were randomly assigned to either the training group (n = 3297) or the validation group (n = 1426). TCM symptoms and tongue characteristics were used to assess the risk of developing DPN in T2DM patients. Through 5-fold cross-validation in the training group, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis method was used to optimize variable selection. In addition, using multifactor logistic regression analysis, a predictive model and nomogram were developed. RESULTS: A total of eight independent predictors were found to be associated with the DPN in multivariate logistic regression analyses: advanced age of grading (odds ratio/OR 1.575), smoke (OR 2.815), insomnia (OR 0.557), sweating (OR 0.535), loose teeth (OR 1.713), dry skin (OR 1.831), purple tongue (OR 2.278). And dark red tongue (OR 0.139). The model was constructed using these eight predictor's medium discriminative capabilities. The area under the curve (AUC) of the training set is 0.727, and the AUC of the validation set is 0.744 on the ROC curve. The calibration plot revealed that the model's goodness-of-fit is satisfactory. CONCLUSIONS: We established a TCM prediction model for DPN in patients with T2DM based on the TCM clinical index.