Abstract
Computer-assisted navigation system (CAS) and robotic assisted surgery (RAS) have been widely used in joint arthroplasty, but few studies focused on public interest. We aimed to evaluate current trend and seasonality of public interest in CAS and RAS arthroplasty over the past 10 years, and forecast the future development. All data related to CAS or RAS arthroplasty from January 2012 to December 2021 were collected through Google Trends. Public interest was described by relative search volume (RSV). Pre-existing trend was evaluated by linear and exponential models. Time series analysis and ARIMA model were utilized to analyze the seasonality and future trend. R software 3.5.0 was for statistics analysis. Public interest in RAS arthroplasty has been continuously increasing (P < 0.001) and exponential model (R(2) = 0.83, MAE = 7.35, MAPE = 34%, RSME = 9.58) fitted better than linear one (R(2) = 0.78, MAE = 8.44, MAPE = 42%, RSME = 10.67). CAS arthroplasty showed a downtrend (P < 0.01) with equivalent R(2) (0.04) and accuracy measures (MAE = 3.92, MAPE = 31%, RSME = 4.95). The greatest popularity of RAS was observed in July and October, while the lowest was in March and December. For CAS, a rise of public interest was in May and October, but lower values were observed in January and November. Based on ARIMA models, the popularity of RAS might continuously increase and nearly double in 2030, along with a stability with slight downtrend for CAS. Public interest in RAS arthroplasty has been continuously increasing and seems to maintain this uptrend in the next 10 years, whereas popularity of CAS arthroplasty will likely remain stable.