Abstract
Medical checkups play a role in the identification of individuals at increased cardiovascular risk. However, the impact of each medical examination parameter on the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) has not been intensively studied. Here we assessed the predictors of MACE among parameters examined during medical checkups in the general Japanese population. A total of 13,522 individuals (mean age, 52.8 ± 12.3 years) who participated in our medical checkup program from 2008 to 2015 were followed up for a median of 1,827 days with the endpoint of MACE. MACE included cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, angina, decompensated heart failure, stroke, and other cardiovascular events requiring hospitalization. Possible associations between MACE and baseline clinical test parameters were investigated. During follow-up, MACE occurred in 196 participants. Participants with hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, or metabolic syndrome were at increased risk of MACE on the univariate analysis. Multivariate Cox hazard analysis demonstrated that male sex, age, systolic blood pressure, and baseline B-type natriuretic peptide level were independently correlated with future MACE after the adjustment for confounders; the impact of B-type natriuretic peptide was most prominent among the investigated variables. These results suggest that B-type natriuretic peptide level obtained during a medical checkup examination is an independent and strong predictor of MACE. The inclusion of BNP as part of medical checkup parameters may improve the ability to identify individuals at increased cardiovascular risk and prevent cardiovascular disease among them.